According to @ai_9684xtpa, Arkham Intelligence identified about 45,000 BTC allegedly not seized by German authorities in the Movie2K case, flagging a potential supply overhang that BTC traders should monitor (source: @ai_9684xtpa). Officially, the Saxony State Criminal Police Office reported in January 2024 that 50,000 BTC tied to Movie2K were transferred to the state via a voluntary handover, marking Germany’s largest crypto seizure to date (source: LKA Sachsen 2024 press release). Traders can track Arkham-labeled German Government BTC wallets for large transfers to exchanges, which are commonly used as early signals of sell pressure and intraday volatility in BTC markets (source: Arkham Intelligence wallet labels and alerts). The author also notes the criminal case remained unresolved into 2024, suggesting legal developments could influence the timing of any asset disposition by authorities or related parties (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to analyst @ai_9684xtpa, a single, large-scale sell-off of an asset like Bitcoin (BTC) may be more advantageous for a long-term holder than a gradual liquidation. The analyst posits that a prolonged selling strategy, such as the one employed by the German government, allows institutional and retail traders to consistently short the asset in a bearish environment, which ultimately pushes the average sale price significantly below the market rate. In contrast, a quick, massive dump is more straightforward for the seller and the subsequent deep correction from a new high could represent a prime buying opportunity for retail investors.